First package: Inflation modelling and forecasting
This package offers the output of estimated and calibrated econometric models to analyze and forecast medium-term price and wage inflation
This package includes:
Estimated econometric models
A large collection of Phillips curve models, trend models, state-space models, dynamic factor models, and ad-hoc models to monitor and forecast price and wage inflation. The list includes the Fed staff model described in Detmeister et al. (2014).. Click here for the list of models
A document delivered before each FOMC meeting that includes the models’ output, the updated forecast, and a commentary about the risks around the forecast.
Incoming data
The package includes consultancy about incoming data and high-frequency movements of price and wage inflation
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